Wednesday, February 6, 2019

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from
FLUS43 KSGF 062122

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
322 PM CST Wed Feb 6 2019

St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
322 PM CST Wed Feb 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Elevated tornado risk.
Elevated hail risk.
Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited flooding risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Elevated fog risk.
Significant ice accumulation risk.
Limited sleet risk.


Dense fog will continue into early this evening over areas
generally along and south of the Interstate 44 corridor.
Visibilities will fall to one quarter of a mile at times.

Intermittent light freezing drizzle and rain will continue over
areas along and northwest of a line from Columbus Kansas to
Versailles this afternoon.

Increasing freezing rain coverage and intensity will occur later
this evening and through the overnight hours. Ice accumulations
of a glaze along the Interstate 44 corridor to between a quarter
to a third of an inch from Columbus Kansas to Versailles are
expected by Thursday morning.

Some isolated accumulating sleet will also occur along and north
of Interstate 44. Some localized sleet accumulations up to a half
inch may occur.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from late this
afternoon through tonight. All modes of severe weather are
expected, including large hail, damaging wind gusts, and
tornadoes. A strong tornado or two will be possible over areas
south of Interstate 44. The highest frequency of intense storms
will occur during the overnight hours.

A flood risk also exists for portions of southern Missouri
through Thursday, as one to three inches of widespread rainfall
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Severe thunderstorms will be ongoing across southern Missouri
early Thursday morning. All modes of severe weather will be
possible, prior to these storms exiting the eastern Ozarks by mid

A brief period of a mix of freezing drizzle, rain, sleet and snow
will be possible across portions of southeast Kansas and western
Missouri Thursday morning. An additional glaze of ice will be

Residual flooding of small streams, creeks, and low water
crossing is expected across southern Missouri through Thursday.

Below normal temperatures are expected late in the week with wind
chill values falling into the single digits and teens at times
from Thursday morning into Friday morning. Temperatures will
begin to moderate somewhat Saturday.

There is then a limited threat for some light snow accumulation
from Sunday night into Monday.

Another round of rain will move across portions of the region
Monday into Tuesday which may bring some additional flooding to
portions of the southern Ozarks.


Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
much of the Missouri Ozarks and southeastern Kansas.


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