Wednesday, February 6, 2019

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from
FLUS43 KSGF 070323

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
923 PM CST Wed Feb 6 2019

St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
923 PM CST Wed Feb 6 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Elevated tornado risk.
Elevated hail risk.
Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated flooding risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Elevated fog risk.
Significant ice accumulation risk.
Limited sleet risk.


Dense fog will continue into the overnight hours over areas
generally along and south of the Interstate 44 corridor.
Visibilities will fall to one quarter of a mile at times.

Increasing freezing rain coverage and intensity will occur
through the overnight hours. Ice accumulations of a glaze along
the Interstate 44 corridor to between a quarter to a third of an
inch from Columbus Kansas to Versailles are expected by Thursday

Some isolated accumulating sleet will also occur along and north
of Interstate 44. Some localized sleet accumulations up to a half
inch may occur.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through the overnight
hours. All modes of severe weather are expected, including large
hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes. A strong tornado or two
will be possible over areas south of a line from Jane to Ozark to
Houston Missouri. The highest frequency of intense storms will
occur after midnight.

A flood risk also exists for portions of southern Missouri
through Thursday, as one to three inches of widespread rainfall
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Severe thunderstorms will be ongoing across southern Missouri
early Thursday morning. All modes of severe weather will be
possible, prior to these storms exiting the eastern Ozarks by mid

A brief period of a mix of freezing drizzle, rain, sleet and snow
will be possible across portions of southeast Kansas and western
Missouri Thursday morning. An additional glaze of ice will be

Residual flooding of small streams, creeks, and low water
crossing is expected across southern Missouri through Thursday.

Below normal temperatures are expected late in the week with wind
chill values falling into the single digits and teens at times
from Thursday morning into Friday morning. Temperatures will
begin to moderate somewhat Saturday.

There is then a limited threat for some light snow accumulation
from Sunday night into Monday.

Another round of rain will move across portions of the region
Monday into Tuesday which may bring some additional flooding to
portions of the southern Ozarks.


Spotter activation may be needed tonight along and south of a
line from Jane, to Ozark, to Houston Missouri.


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