Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from
FLUS43 KSGF 190933

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
433 AM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017

St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
433 AM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017

...Heavy Rain and Flooding Is Becoming Increasingly Likely By
Friday and Into the Weekend...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Limited Hail risk.
Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited Lightning risk.
Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.


A cold front will move into the southeast Kansas and western
Missouri late tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
begin to move into the region by 1 to 2 am and then spread
southeast to a Osage Beach to Springfield to Cassville line by 7
am. A marginal or limited threat of severe storms is expected as
the the activity first moves into the outlook area with small hail
and gusty winds possible with stronger storms.

South wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph will be possible in southeast
Kansas and parts of southwest Missouri today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The cold front will move through the region on Thursday passing
off to the south and east by late afternoon. A limited or marginal
risk for severe storms will be possible as daytime instability
increases by noon. Hail and strong to severe thunderstorm winds
will be the main hazards.

Periods of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected to spread
into the area from the west late Thursday night and Friday and
continue through early Saturday before tapering off. Widespread 2
to 4 inch storm total rainfall is expected with some higher
amounts possible. Rainfall of this magnitude over a large area
has the potential to produce widespread flooding of flood prone
areas, low water crossings, and poor drainage areas.

A low severe thunderstorm risk exists for far southern Missouri
on Friday if enough instability can develop.


Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. Continue
to monitor future forecasts for the potential for heavy rain and
flooding later in the week.


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