Thursday, April 2, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 021810
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
110 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-031815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
110 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI CLOSER TO THE HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL THEN
INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...AS WELL AS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE
REMAINDER OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS FROM LATER THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN
PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE A LIMITED TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY
SUPERCELLS WHICH ARE ABLE TO TRACK EAST ALONG ANY BOUNDARIES.

IN ADDITION TO ANY SUPERCELLS...THE SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE
FOR MULTIPLE LINE SEGMENTS TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN
HAZARD WITH ANY LINE SEGMENTS WILL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER
60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. ANY LINE SEGMENTS
BOWING TOWARDS THE EAST OR NORTHEAST WILL ALSO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

ADDITIONALLY...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS COULD RESULT IN
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING FOR MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS AND A LIMITED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL LINGER
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING AND EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AS LOW TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S.

THERE WILL BE PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT ACROSS
ALL OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN



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