Thursday, April 2, 2015

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 020644 AAA
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
144 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030645-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
144 AM CDT THU APR 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS
MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS FRONT NEAR
SUNRISE...THOUGH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
AFTER SUNRISE INTO THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE
EARLY AND MIDDLE PORTIONS OF THURSDAY MORNING AS THAT FRONT
BEGINS TO STALL. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. IF THESE STORMS CAN
MANAGE TO DEVELOP...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS
OVER 60 MPH FROM A FEW OF THE STORMS. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS MAY
SUPPORT A LIMITED THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH ANY LINE
SEGMENTS BOWING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OR ANY SUPERCELLS MOVING
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AGAIN...THE THREAT FOR ANY TORNADOES
LOOKS LIMITED AT THIS TIME.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THURSDAY
NIGHT AS A LOW LEVEL JET STREAM INTERACTS WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. A LIMITED TO LOCALLY ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A LIMITED THREAT FOR FLOODING FROM LATER
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY LIKELY ACROSS THE OZARKS. THE THREAT FOR ANY SEVERE
STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL END BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AS
THAT FRONT CLEARS THE AREA.

BEHIND THE FRONT...SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING AND EARLY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL QUICKLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.

THERE WILL THEN BE PERIODIC THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FROM LATER
SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REST OF
TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF



For more info: ArtMorris.com