Thursday, May 8, 2014

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 090250
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
950 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-100300-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
950 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
LIMITED HAIL RISK.
LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS...ONE OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND THE OTHER
OVER ARKANSAS WILL BOTH SPREAD INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LIMITED
INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
LOW...BUT A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. IF
ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH OF THIS FRONT... HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WOULD GENERALLY
BE ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.

THERE IS THEN A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN
MANAGE TO DEVELOP ALONG THAT RETREATING WARM FRONT. IF STORMS DO
DEVELOP...THEY WOULD LIKELY BE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE FROM
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IT
DOES APPEAR THAT THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL FINALLY END
SOMETIME LATER MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

DSA



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