Thursday, March 27, 2014

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 271823
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
123 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH TO AS HIGH AS
50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP BY 3 PM OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A CAP OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AND BREAK AS A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO EASTERN
KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON.

INITIALLY...DISCRETE STORMS...POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL RISK UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...DAMAGING
WIND RISK UP TO 70 MPH...AND A SMALL RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A LINE OR LINE SEGMENTS
WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BECOMING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS
EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
ARKANSAS.

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY....ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH
A COLD FRONT.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI FOR
LOCATIONS WEST OF THE I-49. AREAS BETWEEN HIGHWAY 65 AND I-49 MAY
BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE REST OF THE AREA EAST OF
HIGHWAY 65 MAY BE NEED LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN



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