Thursday, March 27, 2014

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 271646
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1146 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281700-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1146 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
ELEVATED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH TO AS HIGH AS
50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI WHERE A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP BY 3 TO 4 PM OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. A CAP OVER THE AREA WILL BEGIN
TO WEAKEN AND BREAK AS A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT MOVE INTO EASTERN
KANSAS BY MID AFTERNOON.

INITIALLY...DISCRETE STORMS...POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A LARGE HAIL RISK...DAMAGING WIND RISK...AND A SMALL
RISK FOR TORNADOES OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.
THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A LINE OR LINE SEGMENTS
WITH THE MAIN STORM THREATS BECOMING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS
EVENING OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXIT THE REGION TO THE EAST BY 1 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH
ARKANSAS.

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY....ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY WITH
A COLD FRONT.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS FOR AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 ESPECIALLY AREAS ALONG THE I-49 CORRIDOR AND
WESTWARD. THE REST OF THE AREA...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN



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