Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 071034
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
534 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-081045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
534 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

EXTREME FLOODING RISK.
SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
LIMITED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING. THERE IS A LIMITED RISK OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WITH THIS ACTIVITY. OF HIGHEST CONCERN IS THE RISK FOR
FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI
AND THE EASTERN OZARKS...WHERE A BAND OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL SET
UP OVERNIGHT. WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ONGOING...THIS WILL ONLY
AGGRAVATE AN ALREADY SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING SITUATION.

A FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION TODAY AND CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED. WITH A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE...
INSTABILITY WILL RECOVER THROUGHOUT THE DAY. AS A RESULT
REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

TONIGHT...YET ANOTHER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS KANSAS AND MOVE INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A RISK OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WITH THIS ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI. OF UTMOST CONCERN WILL BE
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO A RENEWED RISK FOR FLASH
FLOODING AREA WIDE.

WITH SATURATED SOILS ACROSS THE REGION...FLASH FLOODING IS
LIKELY WHEREVER THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP. AREAS THAT NORMALLY
DO NOT FLOOD WILL BE AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ONGOING FIRST THING
THURSDAY MORNING. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN REDEVELOP AHEAD OF
THESE STORMS ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS...THERE WILL BE A RISK
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A FRONT SETTLES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
THE AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED AND THE RISK FOR
FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN SIGNIFICANT.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S ON A
DAILY BASIS THIS WEEK ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO
RELAY ANY INSTANCES OF FLOODING THAT THREATEN LIFE OR PROPERTY
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GAGAN



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