Thursday, August 8, 2013

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Weather Update from ArtMorris.com
FLUS43 KSGF 081817
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
117 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-091830-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
117 PM CDT THU AUG 8 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
LIMITED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
EXTREME FLOODING RISK.
SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE LOCATION OF
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FRONT SETS
UP...WHICH CAN BE ANYWHERE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AS WE HAVE
SEEN THE PAST SEVERAL NIGHTS...THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF
FLASH FLOODING WHEREVER RAINFALL SETS UP ALONG THIS
FRONT...ESPECIALLY WHERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PERSISTENT FOR A LONG
PERIODS OF TIME. LOCATIONS THAT NORMALLY DO NOT FLOOD WILL BE AT
RISK FOR FLOODING.

THERE IS A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THIS EVENING AFTER 5 PM. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. A VERY LIMITED TORNADO RISK
EXISTS OVER FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND AS A FRONT MEANDERS OVER THE AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ONCE
AGAIN EXPECTED AND THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN SIGNIFICANT.
THE RISK FOR ANY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN CONDITIONAL
ON WHETHER OR NOT ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED...BUT
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE URGED TO WATCH RADAR TRENDS
CLOSELY THIS AND OVERNIGHT TO MONITOR RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

DSA



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